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CCM: Post BM Agarwal elimination Dhiraj has become strong

As expected Dhiraj has become strong after elimination of BM Agarwal. He got highest 218 votes from BM. So now it has become really interesting and more complex.

I am asked why I think Parag is still fighting a battle and not in comfort zone? The reasons are as follows:


  • There are still 5 candidates are to be eliminated before the final result and who are carrying 9500 votes.  And all the candidates are from Mumbai. So on distribution of these 9500 votes of the eliminating candidates, the major benefit from these votes would be to Mumbai candidates only and Parag and Julfesh will get the minor transfer of votes, not a big chunk. In such situation, though Parag is at no. 6 from beginning, he will keep coming down. He has made very strong start and that is why he still has 90% chance to win, but not 100%. 
  • On elimination of Shrinivas Joshi, Mangesh Kinnare will jump above. 
  • One interesting thing, Tarun Ghia and Nihar has always been fierece election competitor and in results, Tarun Ghia has always had upper edge and more votes.

Here is the status after BM Agarwal distribution:

Position
NAME OF CANDIDATE
Votes
1
SHIWAJI ZAWARE-PUNE
3230
2
NILESH VIKAMSEY-MUMBAI
3230
3
DHINAL SHAH-AHMEDABAD
3031
4
JAY  CHHAIRA-SURAT
2874
5
NANDKISHORE HEGDE-MUMBAI
2787
6
PARAG RAVAL-AHMEDABAD
2409
7
TARUN GHIA-MUMBAI
2317
8
JULFESH SHAH -NAGPUR
2283
9
NIHAR JAMBUSARIA -MUMBAI
2242
10
PRAFULLA CHHAJED-MUMBAI
2134
11
MANGESH KINARE-MUMBAI
2052
12
DHIRAJ KHANDELWAL-MUMBAI
2038
13
ANIL BHANDARI-MUMBAI
2015
14
DURGESH KABRA-MUMBAI
1888
15
SANJEEV LALAN-MUMBAI
1814
16
SHRINIWAS JOSHI-MUMBAI
1770
17
BRIJMOHAN AGARWAL -MUMBAI
0
18
MAHESH MADKHOLKAR-THANE
0
19
PIYUSH CHHAJED-MUMBAI
0
20
SANJAY PAWAR-PUNE
0
21
NARENDRA SANGANI-MUMBAI
0
22
NARENDRA GUPTA-MUMBAI
0


Comments

  1. Hope for the best for our amdavadi.. Paragbhai.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Abhishek1:39 PM

    In other words out of 11 present CCMs, 7 will be repeated.

    ReplyDelete

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